Working Papers
The Prestakes of Stock Market Investing (with Francesco Bianchi, Do Lee, and Sai Ma).
What Hundreds of Economic News Events Say About Belief Overreaction in the Stock Market (with Francesco Bianchi and Sai Ma).
A Structural Approach to High-Frequency Event Studies: The Fed and Markets as Case History (with Francesco Bianchi and Sai Ma).
What Explains the COVID-19 Stock Market? (with Josue Cox and Daniel Greenwald). Comments welcome.
“Characteristics of Mutual Fund Portfolios: Where are the Value Funds?” (with Martin Lettau and Paulo Manoel). Comments welcome. WSJ Coverage 2/4/2019
"Shock Restricted Structural Vector-Autoregressions" (with Sai Ma and Serena Ng). Comments welcome.
"Origins of Stock Market Fluctuations" (with Daniel Greenwald and Martin Lettau). Working paper supplanted by “How the Wealth Was Won: Factor Shares as Market Fundamentals.”
"Foreign Ownership of U.S. Safe Assets: Good or Bad?" (with Jack Favilukis and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh).
"A Primer on the Economics and Time Series Econometrics of Wealth Effects: A Comment" (with Martin Lettau and Nathan Barczi).